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手機：15906357898(微信同號)<br><br> 網址：http://www.missu24.com<br><br> 地址：山東省聊城高新區神繪路3號內 </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="n_right"> <div id="gong"><h3><a id="beij">公司新聞</a> <div class="place"> 當前位置：<a href="/" title="首頁">首頁</a> > <a href="/list/?1_1.html">新聞中心</a>> <a href="/list/?2_1.html">公司新聞</a> </div> </h3> <div id="min_height"> <div class="title"> <h1>在宏觀環境好轉下，鉛條期貨情緒活躍</h1> <span class="Click"> 發布日期：2022/1/4 9:50:20 總瀏覽：<span id='clickNum'><script src="/inc/AspCms_Visits.asp?id=1241"></script></span> </span> <div class="clear"></div> </div> <div class="content"> <div id="cke_pastebin"> <p><br/></p><p> 在宏觀環境好轉下，<a href="http://www.missu24.com" target="_blank"><strong>鉛條</strong></a>期貨情緒活躍</p><p><br/></p><p> </p><p><br/></p><p> 鉛條廠開始復工復產，而國外疫情蔓延，鐵礦發貨受限，形成鐵礦供不應求的基本面，在此影響下礦價開始逐步上升；二季度，隨著海外情況好轉，鐵礦基本面轉為供需兩旺，鋼廠利潤攀升，引發各種品種結構矛盾，使得國家出臺穩價保供及需求側調控政策，礦價應聲而落；三季度，國內粗鋼壓產政策落定執行，鋼廠生產受限，鐵水產量大幅回落，造成礦價下跌，同時海外疫情得到控制，海外鐵礦發貨逐增，進一步推動礦價下行；四季度，隨著海外礦企逐增鐵礦發貨量，國內港口庫存連續增長，創下年內新高，與之相對的是環保限產下，縮量嚴重的鋼廠開工情況，供強需弱趨勢下，礦價明顯走弱，而進入12月份后，在宏觀環境好轉，期貨情緒活躍，鋼廠利潤回復，加上復產預期增加等利好因素刺激下，價格有所回調。</p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p> 隨著疫情逐漸常態化，鉛條的發貨量會開始穩定。疫情常態化后，除中國外的其他地區工業也逐步復工復產，海外鐵礦需求也會逐步復蘇，必然會分流了部分發至中國的量，不過據數據師了解，海外主流礦山均有在產或增產項目在推進中，四大礦對于明年的產量均給出了向好的預期，資源投放量或將集中在下半年。中長期看，海外鐵礦供應大概率偏強運行。</p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p> 宏觀方面，央行宣布于2021年12月15日下調金融機構存款準備金率0.5個百分點，下調后金融機構加權平均存款準備金率為8.4%。此次全面降準利好地產，也給市場釋放積極信號，穩定市場信心。</p><p><br/></p><p> 綜上所述，2022年總體鉛條供應仍會維持偏強趨勢，而礦石需求會鋼材需求變化而變化，加上2022年環保限產或繼續常態化，盡管有利好行情，但需求大概率維持在2021年的水平；整體來看，22年上半年價格存有反彈上行可能，而全年走勢或將先漲后跌，在國家“穩增長”的政策下，漲跌幅度預計不會太大。</p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p><p> 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